Covid

This is a temporary page until I get some JavaScript dashboard technology going that will display graphs and tabular data.I have the data-capture working, I now have to collate the results and then create the dynamic graphs. Should be running by COB 25/Mar/20.

Please check in later to follow progress.

Progression of covid-19 in Australia

• Australia data supplied to WHO https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports/ is a whole 24 hours old by the time WHO process it.
• Australian data is released at 0630 EDST for figures from the previous day, so if you look at that data during the day, it is for yesterday.

case numbers

Its time to split the NSW population out from the other states, because it is clear that NSW is out of control and contributin more than its fair share to the Growth Factor.

• 20200327 JH 3143 (+336) doubling 1.13 approx
• 20200326 AU 2799 (+320) doubling in 4.5 days, 50,000 @ 61.5 days, 11 Apr 33,091
• 20200324 JH 2044 (+362)
• 20200325 JH 2364 (+320)
• 20200325 AU COB case numbers 2,423 (+297) doubling in 5.2 days.
• 20200325 AU preliminary numbers 2,252 (+116)
• 20200324 AU numbers 2136 (+427) GF 1.29 doubling in 2.7 days.
• 20200324 AU government numbers 1823 (+114) GF 1.07 ? - this cannot be correct.
• 20200323 JH 1682 - database number
• 20200324 WHO sitrep 63 GF 1.29 confirmed cases 1396 (+315) Note sireps are historical data
• 20200323 AU numbers 1709 gf 1.22 (+616); this is a change in measurement timing. GF is actually 1.22 when compared with sitrep 63.
• 20200323 John Hopkins GF 1.20 predicted cases 1314 (+216) - note this is predicted ahead of WHO and ahead of AU released data - which is also old
• 20200322 AU GF 1.02 oficial cases 1098 (+17) (released 23/03/20)
• 20200321 WHO sitrep 62 GF 1.24 confirmed cases 1091 (+208) ;
• 20200320 WHO sitrep 61 GF 1.23 confirmed cases 873 (+164)
• 20200319 WHO sitrep 60 GF 1.39 confirmed cases 709 (+199)
• 20200318 WHO sitrep 59 GF 1.23 confirmed cases 510 (+96)
• 20200317 WHO sitrep 58 GF 1.10 confirmed cases 414 (+39)
• 20200316 WHO sitrep 57 GF 1.26 confirmed cases 375 (+77)
• 20200315 WHO sitrep 56 GF 1.20 confirmed cases 298 (+49)
• 20200314 WHO sitrep 55 GF 1.26 confirmed cases 249 (+52)
• 20200313 WHO sitrep 54 GF 1.41 confirmed cases 197 (+57)
• 20200312 WHO sitrep 53 GF 1.15 confirmed cases 140 (+18)
• 20200311 WHO sitrep 52 GF 1.09 confirmed cases 122 (+10)
• 20200310 WHO sitrep 51 GF 1.22 confirmed cases 112 (+20)
• 20200309 WHO sitrep 50 GF 1.19 confirmed cases 92 (+15)
• 20200308 WHO sitrep 49 GF 1.04 confirmed cases 77 (+3)
• 20200307 WHO sitrep 48 GF 1.17 confirmed cases 74 (+11)
• 20200306 WHO sitrep 47 GF 1.05 confirmed cases 63 (+6)
• 20200304 WHO sitrep 45 GF 1.33 confirmed cases 57 (+14)
• 20200303 WHO sitrep 44 GF 1.26 confirmed cases 43 (+16)
• 20200302 WHO sitrep 43 GF 1.22 confirmed cases 33 (+6)
• 20200301 WHO sitrep 42 GF 1.08 confirmed cases 27 (+2)
• 20200229 WHO sitrep 41 GF 1.04 confirmed cases 25 (+1)

Useful Links

• mediawiki https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Australia
• WHO sitreps https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports/
• Australian Government updates https://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers
  • ACT https://health.act.gov.au/about-our-health-system/novel-coronavirus-covid-19
  • NSW https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/diseases/Pages/covid-19-latest.aspx
  • VIC https://www.dhhs.vic.gov.au/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-update
  • QLD https://www.health.qld.gov.au/news-events/doh-media-releases
  • WA https://ww2.health.wa.gov.au/Articles/A_E/Coronavirus/COVID19-statistics
  • SA
    • https://www.sa.gov.au/covid-19/dashboard?fbclid=IwAR31IubB0YhopoBUwKlCucRSn65prOI2HV-0866mKLjUt6yjNsp4F7Kskqc
    • https://www.sahealth.sa.gov.au/wps/wcm/connect/public+content/sa+health+internet/health+topics/health+topics+a+-+z/covid+2019/latest+updates/latest+updates+-+covid-19
  • TAS https://www.healthstats.dhhs.tas.gov.au/healthsystem
  • NT https://coronavirus.nt.gov.au/
• github
  • John Hopkins github https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19
  • Monash University
    • https://github.com/covid-19-au/covid-19-au.github.io/blob/prod/src/data/time_series_covid19_confirmed_global.csv
    • https://github.com/covid-19-au/covid-19-au.github.io/blob/prod/src/data/country.json
    • https://github.com/covid-19-au/covid-19-au.github.io/blob/prod/src/data/state.json
• CDC https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/world-map.html

dashboards

• monash https://covid-19-au.com/?fbclid=IwAR0fnKTQ2ExT-7gcx934-T5qW1zP8iZcAyglZwT1fcSgt1VjGQ3wi5xTuQc
• reliable https://www.wolframcloud.com/obj/examples/COVID19World (being mathematicians they are using curated data straight off the WHO sitreps). Note that the data is 48 hrs behind AU actual case numbers.

NOTE: All these other dashboards are running predictive numbers - it was thought that John Hopkins was correcting with WHO sitreps - I am not sure now.

• JH dashboard https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html (they appear to be predicting and update twice a day)
• Bing https://www.bing.com/covid (my friend has not confirmed their source)
• WHO https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/685d0ace521648f8a5beeeee1b9125cd
• worldometer https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (warning they are predicting)

References

• travel NSW https://www.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/travel-and-transport-advice
• PPE https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-21/coronavirus-update-australia-covid-19-china-national-cabinet/12166842?fbclid=IwAR3kRbiCmkS4NHYBYUkh9JniGpHXhaLRAjTnz8imlfUFHs96Zgsuopye9Zg
• good summary https://epidemio.wiv-isp.be/…/C…/COVID-19_fact_sheet_ENG.pdf
• https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6682854/infectious-diseases-expert-doubts-20-per-cent-of-australia-will-be-infected/
• https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-27/coronavirus-australia-covid-19-icu-beds-ventilators-hospitals/12090420
• https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-27/coronavirus-covid-19-cases-reach-62-in-canberra/12096386
• https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6701381/nine-new-covid-19-cases-confirmed-in-act-bringing-total-to-71/
• https://the-riotact.com/two-canberra-men-charged-after-making-covid-19-threats/366669
• https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.10218.pdf
• half-life https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2999318
• https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.05003.pdf
• temperature and humidity
  • https://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.05003.pdf
  • https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2020/03/26/covid-summer
  • https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-17715/v1
• nextstrain https://nextstrain.org/ncov
• liability https://warontherocks.com/2020/03/china-is-legally-responsible-for-covid-19-damage-and-claims-could-be-in-the-trillions/?fbclid=IwAR3UPC-dnb5HOtyjWfbf0EOMQANj1DiSibtyPlxskHOCvwr02W9CaW8lMws
• NSW tags https://www.covid19sydney.com/?fbclid=IwAR1OmwgFTHX-DMeVfW3R43DxtrxKeakBuP4qXn0HAmMIrm_bfE9n8-lcXrs
• distance https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/2020/04/03/coronavirus-protection-how-masks-might-stop-spread-through-coughs/5086553002/
• vaccine
  • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2750777/?fbclid=IwAR1mRCD7qofCcL0yeZmTEuEZ-wz35n-DdTA_El1InJYr0ZrJus0iszeY3JI
• Structure
  • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2750777/
  • https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7138183/